Episodes
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7 days ago
7 days ago
5 min
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust — SPY — closed Thursday at 770.19, and here's the state of play heading into today, September 6, 2026. The options market's read is neutral. Traders are pricing SPY to stay inside a band between roughly 760.10 on the downside and 780.28 on the upside, all the way through the September 11 expiration — basically a $10 swing in either direction, already baked…Read the full written analysis

Sep 5, 2026
Sep 5, 2026
5 min
Intel Corporation — ticker INTC. It's September 5, 2026, and shares just closed at $95.63. Here's the whole story in one breath: the options market is leaning slightly bullish on Intel right now, and it's pricing a genuinely wide swing between here and next week's options expiration — somewhere between $87.96 on the low side and $103.30 on the high side. That's the range traders are betting…Read the full written analysis

Sep 5, 2026
Sep 5, 2026
4 min
Hey, it's September 5, 2026, and we're talking NVIDIA — ticker NVDA. The stock closed at $230.03. Here's the read: options traders are leaning slightly bullish into the September 11 expiration, and they're pricing a trading band between $220.30 on the low end and $239.76 on the high end — that's where the market thinks NVDA stays boxed in over the next six days. The one number that breaks this…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
4 min
Let's talk TLT — the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF. It's August 16, 2026, and the fund just closed at 82.07. Here's the headline: the options market is neutral on this name right now, pricing a range of roughly 80.99 to 83.15 between now and this Friday's expiration. And here's the line in the sand — if TLT closes below 81.82, that's the 52-week low, and the whole "range holds" story falls…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust — ticker SPY — here's the setup heading into the back half of this week, current as of August 16, 2026. Shares closed at $776.03. Our read on the options market is neutral — genuinely split, not a hidden lean. The options crowd is pricing a window of roughly $766.70 to $785.35 by the August 21 expiration. That's the map. And the map breaks if SPY closes…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
Hey, it's August 16, 2026, and we're talking about the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF, ticker KWEB, sitting at $27.02 after a rough stretch. Here's the headline: the options market is leaning neutral with just a slight bullish tilt heading into the August 21 expiration, and it's pricing a trading range of roughly $25.98 to $28.06 into that date. The whole read breaks if KWEB closes below…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
Microsoft Corporation — ticker MSFT — here's the setup for August 16, 2026. The stock closed Friday at $495.35, and the options market is leaning slightly bearish into the August 21 expiration. Traders are pricing a range of roughly 480 to 511 for the stock over the next five trading days. The level that breaks this whole read: if MSFT closes above 500, everything I'm about to tell you is off the…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
State Street's Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF — ticker XLE — closed Friday at $61.91. Heading into August 16, 2026, the options market is calling this one neutral, maybe leaning a touch bearish. The pricing on those contracts says XLE should stay somewhere between $60.16 and $63.67 through the August 21 expiration — call it a plus-or-minus 3% move. And here's the line that flips the whole story: if…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
Hey, it's August 16, 2026, and today we're on State Street's Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF — ticker XLF — trading at $58.16. Here's the headline: the options market is calling this one neutral, with a bearish tilt, and it's pricing a range of $57.17 to $59.15 into this Friday's expiration. Stay inside that band, and everything here holds together. But if XLF closes above $59.15, this whole…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
4 min
Rocket Lab, ticker RKLB — it's August 16, 2026, and the stock just closed at $80.18. Here's the headline: the options market is neutral on this name, with just a slight lean bullish. Traders are pricing a range between $72.18 and $88.18 by this Friday's expiration, August 21. And here's the level that breaks the whole read: a close below $78.40. If that gives way, everything I'm about to tell you…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
Alphabet — ticker GOOGL — closed Friday at $346.90, and here's the state of play heading into August 16, 2026. The options market's read on this stock right now is neutral. Not "leaning bullish," not "leaning bearish" — genuinely split. The options crowd is pricing a trading band of roughly $334 to $360 by the time next Friday's contracts expire. And there's one number that breaks this whole…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
Advanced Micro Devices — ticker AMD — here's where things stand on August 16, 2026. Shares closed at $513.59, and the options market is leaning slightly bullish into this Friday's expiration on August 21. Traders are pricing a range of roughly $473.79 up to $553.39 over the next several trading days. But the number that matters most is $500. That's the line in the sand — if AMD closes below $500…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
Walmart Inc. — ticker WMT — here's your setup for the week of August 16, 2026. Stock closed at $115.31. The options market's read on this one is neutral — genuinely on the fence, not leaning either way. Traders are pricing a range of $108.21 on the low end up to $122.41 on the high end between now and the August 21 expiration. And the one number that changes this whole story: a close below…Read the full written analysis

Aug 16, 2026
Aug 16, 2026
5 min
Hey, it's August 16, 2026, and we're talking NVIDIA — ticker NVDA. The stock closed Friday at $225.16. Here's the headline before anything else: options traders are pricing this as neutral with a bullish tilt heading into Friday's August 21 expiration, and they're charging for a move of roughly $9 in either direction — that's a range running from about $216 up to $234. The one number that breaks…Read the full written analysis

Aug 15, 2026
Aug 15, 2026
5 min
Rigetti Computing — ticker RGTI — here's the state of play as of August 15, 2026. The stock closed Thursday at $18.82. Options traders are leaning neutral with a bullish tilt, and they're pricing a range between $16.91 and $20.72 into next Friday's expiration on August 21. The number that breaks this whole read: a close below $17.80. Get under that, and the constructive story is dead. Let's…Read the full written analysis